Capacity planning & process selection

1. Definition

2. Decision tree

3. Break-even analysis

Definition

Capacity: amount of goods that a firm is capable of producing over a specified period of time

Capacity planning: to specify the level of capacity (output rate) that will meet market demands in a cost-efficient way

Factors affecting capacity
1.  External factors: government regulations, union agreements
2.  Internal factors: product design, plant layout, process flow

Process -- activities involved in making a product

Types of processes

Process flow structures Decision tree

Two types of nodes


Two types of branches
 


Example 1
 
Alternatives Revenue if market is weak Revenue if market is strong Cost
Large plant 10,000 200,000 100,000
Medium plant 50,000 120,000 60,000
Small plant 35,000 80,000 40,000
Event Probability
Strong market 40%
Weak market 60%

Example 2

C&A, a cellular phone manufacturer, is investigating the possibility of producing and marketing a new line of phone. Undertaking this project will require either purchasing a CAD/CAM system or hiring and training several additional engineers. The market for the product could be either favorable or unfavorable. C&A, of course, has the option of not developing the new product at all.

With favorable acceptance by the market, sales would be 25,000 phones selling for $100 each, and with unfavorable acceptance, sales would be only 8,000 phones selling for $100 each. The cost of the CAD/CAM equipment is $500,000, but that of hiring and training three new engineers is only $375,000. However, manufacturing cost should drop from $50 each when manufacturing without CAD/CAM to $40 each when manufacturing with CAD/CAM.

The probability of favorable acceptance of the new phone is 0.40; the probability of unfavorable acceptance is 0.60.

Exercise:

Pg. 370, problems 5, 6