DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS

A KNOWLEDGE-BASED APPROACH

Part Four - Artificially Intelligent Decision Support Systems

The rule management technique surveyed in Chapter 11 emerged within the field of artificial intelligence (AI). By incorporating this or other AI techniques in a decision support system, we make that DSS artificially intelligent - capable of displaying behavior that would be regarded as intelligent if observed in humans. Artificially intelligent DSSs are becoming increasingly common. Perhaps the most prominent of these are expert systems, which support decision making by giving advice comparable to what human experts would provide. Such systems are the focal point of Part Four.

Chapter 12 provides an overview of artificially intelligent decision support systems. It examines major branches of study in the AI field and how each may contribute to injecting artificially intelligent behavior into DSSs. It traces the history of technological advances leading to a class of artificially intelligent DSSs known as expert systems. The potential benefits of these systems to individuals and organizations are examined.

Chapter 13 concentrates on how to represent reasoning knowledge as rules and how to process those representations. Two of the most prominent processing methods are forward chaining and backward chaining. These are alternative approaches for using a set of rules to draw inferences about the values of variables. Both of these inference methods are considered in detail.

Chapter 14 is concerned with developing rule-based decision support systems. There are some important aspects to this expert system development that differ from conventional DSS development. One of these involves the acquisition of reasoning knowledge for incorporation into a knowledge system. Both the context and process of knowledge acquisition are considered. These fit within a 7-step development cycle for building expert systems.

Chapter 15 presents a variety of advanced topics related to reasoning with rules: how rigorous the inference will be, in what order rules will be selected for processing, what strategy will guide the evaluation of a rule's premise, and the timing of when inference will happen. The incorporation of uncertainty into reasoning and the treatment of fuzzy (multivalued) variables are also examined.

The case study that concludes Part Four offers guidelines for the development of your own artificially intelligent DSS. It provides examples of three expert systems conceived and built by students in the course of a semester. They are symptomatic of what you should be able to develop in a hands-on project of your own.