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Can
Democrats' Medicare bill bring lower drug prices? It's doubtful
"Democrats are overselling their Medicare
prescription drug bill," says Brooks Jackson of Annenberg
Political Fact Check. "They claim it will bring
about big price cuts for medication while Medicare experts
say it won't. Republicans have been equally misleading, describing
the bill as a system of severe price controls, which it isn't.
The fact is that the bill would do little more than require
the Secretary of Health and Human Services to talk to drug
companies about granting discounts. It specifically denies
him the bargaining leverage of paying only for some drugs
and not others."
Here's the analysis by Jackson, formerly of
CNN and the Wall Street Journal:
"Ever since Congress passed President Bush's new prescription
drug benefit for Medicare recipients, Democrats have been
attacking it as a giveaway to drug companies. In the 2006
House and Senate campaigns, several TV ads attacked GOP lawmakers
for supporting a law that forbids the federal government from
negotiating directly with drug companies for lower prices.
Democrats promised they would repeal that ban.
"Now Democrats are advancing such a bill,
H.R. 4 , which passed the House last week by a vote of 255
to 170. Prospects in the Senate are unclear. . . . Both sides
are blowing hot air. A number of experts, including the Congressional
Budget Office and the chief actuary of the Medicare
system, say the bill won't bring the lower prices Democrats
promise. And contrary to the Republican claim, the actual
language of the bill grants no price-setting authority to
federal officials."
The bill says, "The Secretary [of Health
and Human Services] shall negotiate with pharmaceutical manufacturers
the prices (including discounts, rebates, and other price
concessions) that may be charged" for drugs covered by
Medicare. But the next line says the bill does not give the
secretary the authority to set up a preferred drug list. "Without
such a list, or the threat of keeping some drugs off the formulary,
drug companies would have no particular incentive to cut their
prices," Jackson writes.
CBO's acting director, Donald Marron, said in
a letter, "CBO estimates that H.R. 4 would have a negligible
effect on federal spending because we anticipate that the
Secretary would be unable to negotiate prices across the broad
range of covered Part D drugs that are more favorable than
those obtained by PDPs [private 'prescription drug plans']
under current law. Since the legislation specifically directs
the Secretary to negotiate only about the prices that could
be charged to PDPs, and explicitly indicates that the Secretary
would not have authority to negotiate about some other factors
that may influence the prescription drug market, we assume
that the negotiations would be limited solely to a discussion
about the prices to be charged to PDPs. In that context, the
Secretary’s ability to influence the outcome of those
negotiations would be limited. For example, without the authority
to establish a formulary, we believe that the Secretary would
not be able to encourage the use of particular drugs by Part
D beneficiaries, and as a result would lack the leverage to
obtain significant discounts in his negotiations with drug
manufacturers."
Jackson writes that actuaries for Medicare "reached
a similar conclusion." He notes that The New
York Times said in an editorial that "The secretary
does have the bully pulpit, which he can use to try to bring
down the cost of overpriced drugs," but also notes that
a Washington Post editorial called the bill
"misguided" and said predictions of price cuts are
"too optimistic." It said the drug discounts enjoyed
by the Department of Veterans Affairs, cited
by Democrats, result from a restricted formulary covering
3,000 fewer medications than Medicare, and asked, "If
drugmakers know that Medicare must buy their pills, why would
they grant a discount?"
Jackson concludes, "Prospects for Senate
passage are uncertain, and President Bush has promised to
veto the measure should it pass. Furthermore, the margin in
the House was well short of the two-thirds majority that would
be required to override a veto." (Read
more)
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