Comparative Decision Making Studies

Analysis and Decision Support Tools

"Nothing is more difficult, and therefore more precious, than to be able to decide." -- Napoleon Bonaparte


The following papers have been published from the CDMS projects. They are organized in reverse chronological order by College/Department/Author.

College of Agriculture

Department of Agricultural Economics

Helen Pushkarskaya

Pushkarskaya, Helen, Michael Smithson, Xun Liu, and Jane E. Joseph. (2010). "Neuroeconomics of Environmental Uncertainty and the Theory of Firm."In Neuroeconomics and the Firm, Mellani Day, Angela Stanton, and Isabell Welpe (Eds.), Edward Elgar Publishing, United Kingdom.

Pushkarskaya, Helen. (2010). "Nonpoint source water pollution control: incentives theory approach."VDM Publishing House, Germany.

Pushkarskaya, Helen, and Maria Marshall. (2010). "Family Structure, Policy Shocks, and Family Business Adjustment Choices." Forthcoming in the special issue of the Journal of Family and Economic Issues.

Pushkarskaya, H., X. Liu, M. Smithson, J. Joseph. (2010).  "Beyond risk and ambiguity: Deciding under ignorance."Cognitive Affective and Behavioral Neurocsience, 10 (2): 382-391.

Pushkarskaya, Helen and Dmitry Vedenov. (2010). "How Internet Penetration into Rural Communities Changes Demographics of Rural Entrepreneurs."Innovative Marketing, 6(1):81-94

Pushkarskaya, Helen and Ellen Usher. (2010). "Self-Efficacy for Resolving Environmental Uncertainties Distinguishes Nascent Entrepreneurs from Non Entrepreneurs in Rural Areas." Journal of Extension, 48(1).  

Pushkarskaya, Helen, and Maria Marshall. (2009). "Lump Sum versus Annuity: Choices of Kentucky Farmers During the Tobacco Buyout Program." Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 41(3): 613-624.

Pushkarskaya, Helen and Dmitry Vedenov. (2009). "Farming Exit Decision by Age Group: Analysis of Tobacco Buyout Impact in Kentucky."  Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 41(3): 653-662.

Marshall, Maria, and Helen Pushkarskaya. (2008). "An analysis of tobacco farmers' buyout expenditure choices." Journal of Agribusiness, 26(2): 175-198.

Pushkarskaya, Helen. (2008). "Gender Differences in Determinants of Entrepreneurial Intentions in a Rural Setting". Innovative Marketing, 4 (1): 103-113.

Taylor, Michael A., Brent Sohngen, Alan Randall, and Helen Pushkarskaya. (2004). "Group Contracts for Voluntary Nonpoint Source Pollution Reductions: Evidence from Experimental Auctions."American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 86, 5: 1196.

Department of Animal and Food Sciences

Jeffrey Bewley

Bewley, J.M., M.D. Boehlje, A.W. Gray, H. Hogeveen, S.J. Kenyon. S.D. Eicher, M.A. Russell, and M.M. Schutz. (2010) "Stochastic simulation using @Risk for dairy business investment decisions." Agricultural Finance Review. 70:97-125.

Bewley, J.M., M.D. Boehlje, A.W. Gray, H. Hogeveen, S.J. Kenyon. S.D. Eicher, M.A. Russell, and M.M. Schutz. (2010) "Assessing the potential value for an automated dairy cattle body condition scoring system through stochastic simulation." Agricultural Finance Review. 70:126-150.

Bewley, J.M., R.E. Boyce, D.J. Roberts, M.P. Coffey, and M.M. Schutz. (2010) "Comparison of two methods of assessing dairy cow body condition score." J. Dairy Res. 77:95-98.

Bewley, J.M., R.E. Boyce, J. Hockin, L. Munksgaard, S.D. Eicher, M.E. Einstein, and M.M. Schutz. (2010) "The influence of milk yield, stage of lactation, and body condition on dairy cattle lying behavior using an automated activity monitoring sensor." J. Dairy Res. 77:1-6.

Bewley, J.M. and M.M. Schutz. (2008) "An interdisciplinary review of body condition scoring for dairy cattle." The Professional Animal Scientist. 24:507–529.

Bewley, J.M., M.E. Einstein, M.W. Grott, and M.M. Schutz. (2008) "Comparison of reticular and rectal core-body temperatures in lactating dairy cows." J. Dairy Sci. 91: 4661-4672.

Bewley, J.M., M.W. Grott, M.E. Einstein, and M.M. Schutz. (2008) "Impact of intake water temperatures on reticular temperatures of lactating dairy cows." J. Dairy Sci. 91:3880-3887.

Bewley, J.M., A.M. Peacock, O. Lewis, R.E. Boyce, D.J. Roberts, M.P. Coffey, S.J. Kenyon, and M.M. Schutz. (2008) "Potential for estimation of body condition scores in dairy cattle from digital images". J. Dairy Sci. 2008 91: 3439-3453.

Bewley, J., R.W. Palmer, and D.B. Jackson-Smith. (2001) "An overview of experiences of Wisconsin dairy farmers who modernized their operations." J. Dairy Sci. 84:717-729.

Bewley, J., R.W. Palmer, and D.B. Jackson-Smith. (2001) "A comparison of free-stall barns used by modernized dairies." J. Dairy Sci. 84:528-541.

Bewley, J., R.W. Palmer, and D.B. Jackson-Smith. (2001) "Modeling milk production and labor efficiency in modernized Wisconsin herds." J. Dairy Sci. 84:705-716.

Wagner, A., R.W. Palmer, J. Bewley, and D.B. Jackson-Smith. (2001) "Producer satisfaction, efficiency, and investment cost factors of different milking systems." J. Dairy Sci. 84:1890-1898.

College of Arts & Sciences

Department of Biology

Philip Crowley

Crowley, Philip H ., Yoriko Saeki  and Paul V. Switzer.  (2009) "Evolutionarily stable oviposition and sex ratio in parasitoid wasps with single-sex broods." Ecological Entomology, 34, 163–175.

Saeki, Yoriko, Philip H. Crowley, Charles W. Fox and Daniel A. Potter. (2009). "A sex-specific sizenumber tradeoff in clonal broods." Oikos, 118: 1552 -1560.

Crowley, Philip H. and Yoriko Saeki. (2009) "Balancing the Size-Number Tradeoff in Clonal Broods." The Open Ecology Journal, 2: 100-111.

Crowley, Philip H. and Mary K. Hart. (2007). "Evolutionary stability of egg trading and parceling in simultaneous hermaphrodites: The chalk bass revisited." Journal of Theoretical Biology, 246: 420–429.

Crowley, Philip H. (2008). "Sex allocation in simultaneous hermaphrodites: Trade-offs between sex-specific costs and lifespan." Theor Ecol l:199-208.

Hart, Mary K., Andrew W. Kratter, Anne-Marie Svoboda, Cara L. Lawrence, R. Craig Sargent and Philip H. Crowley. "Sex allocation in a group-living simultaneous hermaphrodite: effects of density at two different spatial scales." Evolutionary Ecology Research, 12: 189–202.

College of Engineering

Department of Computer Science

Judy Goldsmith

Dai, Peng and Judy Goldsmith. "Ranking Policies in Discrete Markov Decision Processes." Annals of Mathematics and Articial Intelligence, forthcoming.

Yi, Liangrong and Judy Goldsmith.  "Decision-theoretic Harmony: A First Step." International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, Special Issue on Bayesian Applications, forthcoming.

Dekhtyar, Alex, Judy Goldsmith, Beth Goldstein, Krol Kevin Mathias and Cynthia Isenhour. (2009, March).  "Planning for success: The interdisciplinary approach to building Bayesian models." International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, Volume 50, Issue 3: 416-428. (Special Section on Bayesian Modelling.)

Erdelyi, Gabor, Henning Fernau, Judy Goldsmith, Nicholas Mattei, Daniel Raible and Jörg Rothe.  "The Complexity of Probabilistic Lobbying."Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Algorithmic Decision Theory: 2009.

Dai, Peng, and Judy Goldsmith. "Finding the k Best Policies." Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Algorithmic Decision Theory, 2009.

Goldsmith, Judy, Jérôme Lang, Mirozlaw Truszczyński, and Nic Wilson. (2008). "The computational complexity of dominance and consistency in CP-nets." Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research,  33: 403-432.

Goldsmith, Judy, and Ulrich Junker. (2008, Winter). "Preference Handling for Articial Intelligence." AI Magazine.

Yi, Liangrong, Raphael Finkel, and Judy Goldsmith. "Planning for Welfare to Work." Proceedings of the Florida AI Research Symposium (FLAIRS '08); 2008, pp. 696-702.

Dai, Peng,  Alexander Strehl, and Judy Goldsmith. "Expediting RL by Using Graphical Structures." Proceedings of the The 7th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS '08), 2008, pp. 1325-1328.

Mundhenk, Martin and Judy Goldsmith. "Competition Adds Complexity." Proceedings of the Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS 2007), 2007,pp. 561-568.

Goldsmith, Judy,  and Robert H. Sloan, "The Conference Paper Assignment Problem." Proceedings of the AAAI Workshop on Preference Handling in AI, 2007.

Yi, Liangrong, and Judy Goldsmith, "Automatic generation of four-part harmony." Proceedings of the UAI-07 Workshop on Bayesian Modeling Applications, 2007.

Dao. Peng, and Judy Goldsmith, "Multi-threaded BLAO* Algorithm."FLAIRS 2007.

Dao. Peng, and Judy Goldsmith, "Topological Value Iteration Algorithm for Markov Decision Processes." Proceedings of the IJCAI 2007.

Dai, Peng, and Judy Goldsmith, "LAO*, RLAO* or BLAO*", Proceedings of the  AAAI Workshop on Heuristic Search, Memory Based Heuristics and Their Applications", 2006.

Gehlbach, Kendra Renee, Brandon Laracuente, Cynthia Isenhour, Judy Goldsmith, Beth Goldstein, and Miroslaw Truszczyński, "A Benchmark Model for Decision - Theoretic Planning with Constraints",  The Fourth Bayesian Modelling Applications Workshop  during  UAI 2006.

Mathias, Krol Kevin, Cynthia Isenhour, Alex Dekhtyar, Judy Goldsmith, and Beth Goldstein, "When Domains Require Modeling Adaptations" The Fourth Bayesian Modelling Applications Workshop during UAI 2006.

Mathias, Krol Kevin, Casey Lengacher, Derek Williams, Austin Cornett, Alex Dekhtyar and Judy Goldsmith, "Factored MDP Elicitation and Plan Display", ISDN, AAAI 2006.

Goldsmith, Judy, and Robert H. Sloan, (2005). "New Horn Revision Algorithms." Journal of Machine Learning Research, 6(Dec):1919-1938.

Zhao, Wenzhong, Alex Dekhtyar, and Judy Goldsmith,  (2005). "A Framework for Management of Semistructured Probabilistic Data", Journal of Intelligent Information Systems, 25:3.

Goldsmith, J., R.H. Sloan, Balázs Szörényi, and György Turán. "Revision algorithms using queries: results and problems" Proceedings of the  NIPS Foundations of Active Learningworkshop, December, 2005.

Goldsmith, J.,  J. Lang, M. Truszczyński, and N. Wilson, "The computational complexity of dominance and consistency in CP-nets." Proceedings of the  21st International Joint Conference on AI (IJCAI '05), 2005.

Williams, D., K. Bailey, A. Dekhtyar, R. Finkel, J. Goldsmith, B. Goldstein, and J. Mazur, "Interactive Preferences and Decision - Theoretic Planning." Proceedings of the IJCAI Workshop on Preference  Handling, 2005.

Dekhtyar, Alex, Raphael Finkel, Judy Goldsmith, Beth Goldstein, Joan Mazur, "Adaptive decision support for planning under hard and soft constraints." Proceedings of the AAAI Spring Symposium on Decision Support in a Changing World, AAAI Press, 2005.

Goldsmith,  J., R.H. Sloan, B. Szorenyi, G. Turan. "Theory revision with queries: results and problems." Proceedings of the   Workshop on Learning with Logics and Logics for Learning, Japan, 2005.

Goldsmith, Judy,  Wenzhong Zhao and Alex Dekhtyar. (2004, September). "Databases for Interval Probabilities."International Journal of Intelligent Systems, 19: (9) 789-815.

Goldsmith,  J., R.H. Sloan, Balázs Szörényi, and György Turán. "New Revision Algorithms." Proceedings of the  Conference on Algorithmic Learning Theory (ALT '04), pp. 395 - 409, September, 2004.

Goldsmith, Judy,  Robert H. Sloan, Balázs Szörényi, and György Turán. (2004, July). "Theory Revision with Queries: Horn and other non-DNF Forms." Artificial Intelligence Journal, 156: (2): 139-176.

Goldsmith, Judy,  Alex Dekhtyar and Jan Pearce. (2003, November). "When plans distinguish Bayes nets." International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge-Based Systems (IJUFKS), Vol 11, Suppl, pp. 1-24.

Bhuma, Kiran, and Judy Goldsmith, "Bidirectional LAO*."First Indian International Conference on Articial Intelligence, pp. 980-992, December, 2003.

Zhao, Wenzhong,  Alex Dekhtyar, and Judy Goldsmith. "Query Algebra Operations for Interval Probabilities." Proceedings of the   14th International Conference on Database and Expert Systems Applications, September, 2003. (Available in Springer Lecture Notes in Computer Science 2736, pp. 527 - 536.)

Goldsmith, Judy, Alex Dekhtyar and Wenzhong Zhao. "Can Probabilistic Databases Help Elect Qualified Officials." Proceedings of the  Florida AI Research Symposium, May, 2003.

Bovik, Harry Q.,  Judy Q. Goldsmith, Andrew Q. Klapper, and Michael Q. Littman. "Markov Indecision Processes: A Formal Model of Decision-Making Under Extreme Confusion." JMLG 1(Apr):1-9, 2003.

Goldsmith, Judy,  R.H. Sloan, Balázs Szörényi, and G. Turán. (2002) "Theory revision with queries: Disjunctive Normal Forms."  Machine Learning,  47:257-295.

Royalty, James, Derek Williams, Robert Holland, Judy Goldsmith, and Alex Dekhtyar. "POET, The Online Preference Elicitation Tool.", Proceedings of the  AAAI Workshop on Preferences in AI and CP: A Symbolic Approach, July, 2002.

Dekthyar, Alex, and Judy Goldsmith. "Conditionalization for Interval Probabilities." Proceedings of the  Workshop on Conditionals, Information, and Inference, May, 2002.

Lusena, C., J. Goldsmith and M. Mundhenk. (2001). "Nonapproximability results for Markov decision processes." Journal of AI Research, 14: 83-103.

Dekhtyar, Alex, Judy Goldsmith, and Jan Pearce. "When probabilities distinguish Bayes nets." KI-2001 workshop "Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence", September, 2001.

Dekhtyar, A., S. Hawkes, and J. Goldsmith. "Semistructured Probabilistic Databases." Proceedings of the  Statistical and Scientific Database Management Systems, June, 2001.

Mundhenk, M., C. Lusena, J. Goldsmith, and E. Allender,  (2000, July). "The complexity of nite-horizon Markov decision process problems."Journal of the ACM 47: (4), 681-720.

Goldsmith, J. and R.H. Sloan. "Improved algorithms for theory revision with queries." Proceedings of the 2000 Conference on Computational Learning Theory, June, 2000.

Goldsmith, J., R.H. Sloan, Balázs Szörényi, and György Turán. "More theory revision with queries." Proceedings of the  2000 ACM Symposium on Theory of Computing, May, 2000.

Goldsmith, J.,  and R.H. Sloan. "The complexity of model aggregation.", Proceedings of the  AI, Planning and Scheduling, April, 2000.

Lusena, C.D., T. Li, S. Sittinger, C.A. Wells, and Judy Goldsmith. "My brain is full: When more memory helps." Proceedings of the   Uncertainty in AI, July, 1999.

Littman, M.,  J. Goldsmith, and M. Mundhenk. (1998) "The Computational Complexity of Probabilistic Plan Existence and Evaluation." The Journal of AI Research, volume 9, pages 1-36.

Littman,  M.L., M. Mundhenk, and J. Goldsmith. "The complexity of plan existence and evaluation in probabilistic domains." Proceedings of the  Conference on Uncertainty in AI, August 1997.

Mundhenk, M. , J. Goldsmith, and E. Allender. "The complexity of unobservable finite-horizon Markov decision processes (extended abstract)." Proceedings of the  MFCS, 1997.